Aug 31, 2012
 |
| Leslie and Kirk Satellite |
Redemption for this
lackluster season could be arriving as soon as Tuesday next week for us. Model consensus is steering Leslie West and
then begins to shift on a more WNW track as the Atlantic ridge weakens. Depending on the strength of this ridge will
determine the size of the surf. A weaker
ridge will allow Leslie to slowly curve NW in between Bermuda and the Eastern
Seaboard. If the ridge is stronger she
will curve North closer Bermuda. Either
way we are expected to see a long period ground swell impacting much of the
coast next week due to Leslie steadily strengthening and her trot Westward.
Here’s a scenario to look
forward to.
Leslie is moving at a quick
15+ knots as of right now. But as she
begins to interact with the ridge to the North of her more and more, she will
slow gradually. Many of the computer
models have her coming to a near dead stop nearly parallel to Folly Beach….and
even strengthening while she lays. If
that happens do I even need to say the rest?
Once she stalls out on Wednesday it's a toss up where she is going to fly off too. The ensemble models show how confused the computers are post day 5.
MikeC
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